War Handwavium

Iranians gathered on July 9 to protest the presidential election. They were motivated in part because it was the ten year anniversary of student unrest in 1999.

Authorities have banned all gatherings and protests of any kind. Police used tear gas and physical force to disperse the protesters.

That protesters are braving riot police at this point indicates strong unrest in Iran. But how much of it was motivated because of the anniversary remains to be seen. The question is whether the protesters can continue to make public demonstrations or whether the military crackdown will finally silence them.

At this point, anything could happen. Only time will tell.

http://english.aljazeera.net/news/middleeast/2009/07/200979134022271172.html